CD-ROM
Prediksi Jumlah Tingkat Impor Biji Gandum dan Meslin menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing (CD + Cetak)
Along with the current developments, the development of imported wheat flour / wheat flour also changes every year. Fulfilling the need for basic commodities is one of the most important things in life. The need for the fulfillment of staples, especially wheat, makes the public and the government need a definite stock in the future by predicting or predicting existing stocks. To support this process, a prediction or prediction of the number of wheat and meslin import commodity levels in the future, especially in the largest wheat exporter for Indonesia, can be made by using the Double exponential smoothing method to determine predictions of future import levels which are usually measured by Mean Absolute Error ( MAD), Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). So that by predicting the total level of imports of wheat, the public or the government will get a picture of the size and size of wheat demand in the future. The respective forecasts for each country are Australia 1242886.8 and 20995.2 tonnes, Canada 2 395 611.2 and 2 561 694.8 tonnes, Ukraine 3 487 840.4 and 3 964 346.4 tonnes, United States 1 200 325.6 and 1 268 094.7 tonnes, Russia 1 261 638.2 and 1 484 983.6 tons, Other Countries 175 174.2 and 167 741.8 tons.
Keywords: Prediction of Wheat & Meslin Import Commodities, Forecasting, Double Exponential Smoothing, Time Series, Time Series Analysis.
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